Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 16.602023 19.236778 22.092754 25.410746 29.151319 33.229481 38.003642
2025-09-14 12.386365 16.068875 20.449491 26.005825 32.822928 40.868677 51.033415
2025-09-21 9.490664 13.494415 18.624597 25.593001 34.711634 46.128225 61.376107
2025-09-28 7.455236 11.482309 16.983190 24.899662 35.826387 50.179498 70.221819
2025-10-05 6.713572 11.037319 17.256516 26.627229 40.112060 58.493471 85.045863
2025-10-12 6.039626 10.543354 17.333391 27.994850 43.914991 66.331465 99.679070
2025-10-19 5.256241 9.733224 16.799262 28.342649 46.195811 72.112250 111.737301
2025-10-26 4.579981 8.975454 16.222065 28.510052 48.145688 77.461107 123.418426
2025-11-02 3.922075 8.134628 15.386609 28.141218 49.178075 81.443807 133.246765
2025-11-09 3.339221 7.327664 14.492852 27.551381 49.757055 84.704349 142.095871
2025-11-16 2.835368 6.581787 13.601532 26.847306 50.045697 87.467819 150.260196
2025-11-23 2.368385 5.825417 12.587140 25.801103 49.635631 89.035427 156.560198
2025-11-30 2.129757 5.530688 12.453420 26.424794 52.310287 96.055509 172.464680
2025-12-07 1.900167 5.220596 12.262649 26.948460 54.903489 103.201717 189.172427
2025-12-14 1.613836 4.720266 11.612509 26.507308 55.697762 107.335061 201.111123
2025-12-21 1.351136 4.216353 10.873972 25.789994 55.887261 110.392425 211.356266
2025-12-28 1.305938 4.258058 11.333552 27.570157 60.967813 122.385662 237.630572
2026-01-04 1.236690 4.221130 11.607372 28.979346 65.420008 133.486330 262.881492
2026-01-11 1.109542 3.995035 11.406685 29.337677 67.800716 140.923925 281.989798
2026-01-18 0.987750 3.755847 11.138059 29.510146 69.804149 147.755659 300.324192
2026-01-25 0.854717 3.448771 10.652581 29.130137 70.619578 152.370212 314.813799
2026-02-01 0.730252 3.135172 10.099212 28.522387 70.889129 155.928214 327.492384
2026-02-08 0.619009 2.833651 9.527082 27.796861 70.829548 158.814629 339.017845